Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2026

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Houston Rockets · Apr 29, 2026

Updated Apr 29, 2026 11:53 PM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 19.4 points per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 4.0 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 5.6 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, marking this as a positive matchup.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 15.1 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.
The 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the league this year has been the Houston Rockets.
The Lakers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Rockets.
Over the last 15 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (fewest in the league) against the Los Angeles Lakers, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

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