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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 2/22/2025

Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets

 
 
 
Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has played 31.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 82nd percentile.
  • This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have notched 24.0 points per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Utah Jazz, resulting in a favorable matchup for offensive efficiency.
  • Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.6 offensive boards per game this year.
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has sunk 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.5 higher than he's sunk in all games this season away from his home court.
  • The matchup against Utah is a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 5.6 foul shots per game this year when the Jazz have the home court advantage (most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. places in the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game this year.
  • As it relates to 3-pointers, the Houston Rockets's poor 34.1% rate of made threes ranks 3rd-lowest in the league this year.
  • The 6th-slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Houston Rockets.
  • The Houston Rockets will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this game from facing the 10th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Jazz).
  • Jabari Smith Jr. will likely experience a decrease in production in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this contest.

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