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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/29/2024

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has tallied 38.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 6.1 higher than he's tallied overall this year at home.

The matchup against the Miami Heat is a strong one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 2nd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (43.4%).

The Houston Rockets have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank best in in the NBA with 14.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Among all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. rates in the 25th percentile for bricked foul shots with the home court advantage, registering a measly 0.1 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. slots into the 75th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for off-target 3-pointers, tallying a whopping 3.2 per game this year.

With respect to 3-pointers, the Houston Rockets's unimpressive 32.2% rate of made threes measures as the 2nd-weakest in the league this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Houston Rockets.

Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, making it tough to get to the foul line.

More Jabari Smith Jr. Player Props

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