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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets

 
 
 
Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has converted 52.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 7.7% higher than he's made overall this season.
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has played 32.6 minutes per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, putting him in the 85th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
  • The Thunder have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should boost possessions for the Rockets.
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the league with 14.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
  • Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 4.5 foul shots per game (10th-most in the league) against the Thunder, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has successfully made just 24.2% of his 3-point attempts this year, quite a bit lower than his 36.4 mark last year.
  • Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. lands in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 3.0 fouls per game this year.
  • The Rockets check in as the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
  • This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 46.3% on field goal attempts (8th-weakest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, identifying this as a challenging matchup.
  • The Houston Rockets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league while playing on the road this year.

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