Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 10/31/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets · Oct 31, 2024

Updated Oct 31, 2024 11:48 PM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. registers in the 78th percentile for 3-point attempts, logging 5.0 per game since the start of last season.
Jabari Smith Jr. has played 31.9 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 82nd percentile.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 16.0 shot attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, marking this as a favorable matchup.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets rank 6th-best in in the league with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Jabari Smith Jr. has failed to make 6.0 shots from the field per game since the start of last season, putting him among the worst players in the league by this metric: 76th percentile for misses .
Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. slots into the 91st percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game since the start of last season.
The Houston Rockets check in as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA while on the road since the start of last season.
The matchup against Dallas is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.5 free throws per game this year when the Mavericks are on their home court (3rd-least in the league).
Jabari Smith Jr. will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player production in all stat categories.

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