Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets · Mar 27, 2024

Updated Mar 28, 2024 12:57 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 6.0 treys per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.
Jabari Smith Jr. has played 31.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 83rd percentile.
The clash with Chet Holmgren registers in just the 83rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs compiling a massive 15.4 points per game this year.
The 5th-quickest tempo road offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should raise plays for the Rockets.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. places in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 2.7 fouls per game this year.
The Rockets have been the 10th-lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year.
Jabari Smith Jr. will likely see a decline in productivity across the board due to being on the road in this matchup.

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