Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 21, 2024

Updated Mar 22, 2024 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 4.8 shots from downtown per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 78th percentile out of all players in the league.
Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 31.3 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Out of all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. measures in the 78th percentile for foul-shot performance with an exceptional 84.3% rate this year.

Favors Under

Jabari Smith Jr. has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
When it comes to threes, the Rockets's feeble 35.1% rate of made threes places 4th-lowest in the NBA this year.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 11.5 field goal attempts per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Chicago Bulls, making this a hard matchup.
The Houston Rockets will likely see a decline in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Bulls).

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