Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 2/22/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets · Feb 22, 2024

Updated Feb 23, 2024 3:45 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 5.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Jabari Smith Jr. has tallied 36.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
The 7th-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Houston Rockets.
The Pelicans have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should boost opportunities for the Rockets.
The Houston Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (90th percentile).
The Houston Rockets check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from their home court this year.
This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 3.4 3-point attempts per game (11th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, branding this as a hard matchup.
This year when they are on the road, opposing clubs have captured 11.4 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans (continuing possessions that can produce more opportunities for offense).
Jabari Smith Jr. figures to suffer a reduction in production in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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