Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Houston Rockets vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 24, 2024

Updated Jan 25, 2024 12:33 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have shot 33.5% on three-pointers (lowest in the league) against the Portland Trail Blazers, designating this as a challenging matchup.
The Rockets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Rockets will likely see a spike in opportunities today from squaring off against the 9th-speediest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 1stbest in in the league with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

When it comes to offense, the Rockets's subpar 110.7 points per game measures as the 7th-worst in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Over the last 20 games when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have nabbed 11.5 offensive boards per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (preserving possessions that can create bonus opportunities for offense).
Over the last 20 games when they are playing at home, opposing teams have attempted 26.5 free throws per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Trail Blazers, easily managing to draw fouls.

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