Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Houston Rockets · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 12:03 AM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-122/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 30.4 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Rockets are expected to see a rise in plays today from squaring off against the 10th-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
Jabari Smith Jr. has successfully made 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he's converted overall this year.
When it comes to getting to the charity stripe, the Houston Rockets's impressive 28.0 foul shots per game without the home court advantage settles in as the best in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. New Orleans may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 3.7 free throws per game over the last 15 games when the Pelicans have the home court advantage (24th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Jabari Smith Jr. has made 20.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc while on the road this year, ranking him in the 17th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Jabari Smith Jr. has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (95th percentile).
The matchup vs. New Orleans is a hard one for 3-point attempts; when the New Orleans Pelicans are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 11th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.4).
The 5th-most lethargic pace away offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Rockets grade out 9thworst in in the league with just 10.2 offensive boards per game this year.