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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has successfully made 67.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 15.9% more than he's sunk in all games this season playing at home.

When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Houston Rockets's stellar 39.2% rate of drained threes as the home team places 6th-best in the league over the last 11 games.

The matchup vs. Atlanta is a positive one; when the Atlanta Hawks are away from home, they have allowed the 28th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs this year (21.1).

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should raise opportunities for the Rockets.

Jabari Smith Jr. has attempted 3.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.5 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game while at home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The 4th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Houston Rockets.

The Rockets have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

When playing away from home, the Atlanta Hawks have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

More Jabari Smith Jr. Player Props

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