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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 12/11/2023

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs

 
 
 
Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In contrast to last season's 27.6% mark, Jabari Smith Jr.'s 3-point effectiveness has spiked this season to 52.0%.
  • In regard to treys, the Houston Rockets's terrific 39.0% rate of sunk threes places 5th-highest in the league this year.
  • The matchup vs. San Antonio is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Spurs are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled the 29th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.3).
  • The Rockets will likely see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 10 games (the Spurs).
  • On their home court, the Spurs have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (78th percentile).
  • The 3rd-slowest pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.
  • The Houston Rockets have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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