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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/20/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets

 
 
 
Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Compared to last year's 11.7 rate, Jabari Smith Jr.'s shots taken have spiked this year to 11.8 per game.
  • In contrast to last season's 30.4 clip, Jabari Smith Jr.'s playing time has surged this season to 31.5 minutes per game.
  • This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 14.6 shot attempts per game (27th-most in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, creating a strong matchup.
  • The Warriors have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which should increase opportunities for the Houston Rockets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In comparison to last year's 3.4 rate, Jabari Smith Jr.'s off the mark three-pointers have surged this year to 4.3 per game.
  • Compared to last season's 2.8 rate, Jabari Smith Jr.'s personal fouls per game have jumped this season to 4.8.
  • The Houston Rockets have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the NBA as the away team this year.
  • The Houston Rockets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Over the last 7 games when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have snagged 10.9 offensive rebounds per game (7th-most in the league) against the Warriors (retaining possessions that can bring about more opportunities for offense).

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