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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/12/2023

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has sunk a whopping 37.9% of his 3-pointers this season, significantly more than his 28.1 rate last season.

With respect to offense, the Houston Rockets's impressive 117.8 points per game while on the road rates 6th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Relative to last year's 80.7% rate, Jabari Smith Jr.'s foul-shot prowess has spiked this year to 100.0%.

Jabari Smith Jr. will likely see a spike in output in all stat categories considering possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last season's 2.9 mark, Jabari Smith Jr.'s personal fouls per game have increased this season to 3.6.

The matchup vs. Denver is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Nuggets are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 14th-least three attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (3.6).

The Rockets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league on the road this year.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the league this year, which should decrease plays for the Rockets.

The Rockets rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

More Jabari Smith Jr. Player Props

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