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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Player Prop - 11/10/2023

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has successfully made 50.7% of his treys over the last 5 games at home, 10.9% more than he's converted in all games this season when playing at home.

The matchup vs. New Orleans is a positive one for field goals; when the Pelicans are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 23rd-highest field goal rate in the league since the start of last season (48.2%).

The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see a rise in possessions today from sharing the court with the 3rd-quickest tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Pelicans).

The Rockets have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Jabari Smith Jr. has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 41.7% higher than he's sunk overall this year while at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jabari Smith Jr. has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

The Rockets have been the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA away from home since the start of last season.

The Rockets have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league while playing at home this year.

This year when they are on their home court, their opposition has brought down 13.5 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans (lengthening possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense).

Over the last 5 games when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.4 free throws per game (10th-lowest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, making it tough to get to the foul line.

More Jabari Smith Jr. Player Props

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