Jabari Smith Jr. Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2023

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets · Mar 22, 2023

Updated Mar 22, 2023 11:31 PM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has averaged 16.6 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.1 more than he's averaged overall this season.
Jabari Smith Jr. has successfully made 39.6% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 11.3% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the year.
Jabari Smith Jr. has tallied 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage.
The Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games on their home court, which ought to raise possessions for the Rockets.

Favors Under

The Houston Rockets have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Grizzlies is a hard one for scoring; the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 15th-least buckets per game in the NBA this year (4.6).
On their home court, the Grizzlies have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Grizzlies is a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.8 free throws per game this year (14th-least in the league).
Jabari Smith Jr. will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lowers player production in all stat categories.

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