Jabari Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Made 3 Point Shots

Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 8, 2023 8:08 PM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-185/+141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -172 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. lands in the 93rd percentile for threes converted, averaging 2.8 per game this year.
Jabari Smith Jr. has been on the court for 29.8 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
This matchup is a tough one for 3-point shots; when the Los Angeles Lakers are playing at home, opposing teams have posted the 3rd-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA since the start of last season (34.5%).
The matchup against Los Angeles is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 22nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games when the Lakers are the visiting squad (6.8).
The Rockets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Jabari Smith Jr. ranks in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 3.5 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.
The Rockets have been the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while on the road since the start of last season.
The most sluggish pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Rockets.
While on their home court, the Los Angeles Lakers have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to opposing clubs since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).