Jabari Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Houston Rockets · Dec 22, 2024

Updated Dec 22, 2024 5:29 PM EST

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+145/-230).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -180 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -230.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has posted 2.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's posted over the course of the season.
Jabari Smith Jr. has played 36.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 higher than he's played over the course of the season.
The Rockets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Raptors have played at the 3rd-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which should lead to increased plays for the Rockets.
The Rockets check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Jabari Smith Jr. has been called for 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.2 higher than he's been called for overall this season on the road.
Jabari Smith Jr. ought to suffer a reduction in production in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this game.