Jabari Smith Jr. Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/9/2024

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Jabari Smith Jr.

NBA · Player Props

Jabari Smith Jr.

F · Houston Rockets

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Houston Rockets · Feb 9, 2024

Updated Feb 9, 2024 11:12 PM UTC

Analysis

Jabari Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-240).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +175 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jabari Smith Jr. has played 31.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 82nd percentile.
The 4th-speediest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Rockets.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out 14thbest in in the NBA while on the road with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Jabari Smith Jr. ranks in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 2.8 fouls per game this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Rockets.
The Toronto Raptors have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jabari Smith Jr. will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to lower stat production in all facets of the game.

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