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Jabari Smith Jr.

Jabari Smith Jr. Assists
Player Prop - 3/20/2023

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors

 
 
 
Jabari Smith Jr. Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has played 30.1 minutes per game since the start of last season, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 82nd percentile.
  • The Houston Rockets have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year.
  • Without the home court advantage, the Warriors have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
  • Jabari Smith Jr. will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually increases stat production for all stats.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Jabari Smith Jr. has been called for 2.9 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (94th percentile).
  • The Warriors have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Rockets.
  • The Houston Rockets check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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