Ja Morant Steals - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Steals

Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 7:51 PM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+165/-205).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +180 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has posted 1.1 steals per game this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard over this stretch.
Ja Morant has averaged 31.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 84th percentile.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.
The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should boost plays for the Grizzlies.

Favors Under

Ja Morant has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled when it comes to getting T'ed up.
Ja Morant will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decreases stat production across the board.