Ja Morant Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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Ja Morant

NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Rebounds

Atlanta Hawks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 24, 2023 12:39 AM UTC

Analysis

Ja Morant Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has tallied 4.9 defensive boards per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 86th percentile.
Among all players in the NBA, Ja Morant rates in the 86th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 32.4 minutes per game since the start of last season.
The Grizzlies have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team.
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-fastest pace home team in the NBA this year (the Atlanta Hawks).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Ja Morant rates in the 91st percentile for technical fouls, averaging a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game away from home since the start of last season.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 1stworst in in the league on the road with only 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
While at home, the Atlanta Hawks have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Ja Morant will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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