Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 26, 2025

Updated Dec 26, 2025 7:56 PM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have posted 21.7 points per game (most in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, making this a strong matchup for offensive production.
The 4th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 12.3 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
The matchup against the Bucks is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 4.2 foul shots per game this year (7th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Ja Morant has put up a mere 17.7 points per game this year, significantly less than his 22.9 points per game last year.
When it comes to shooting, the Memphis Grizzlies's feeble 45.5% field goal percentage rates 6th-weakest in the league this year.
The Grizzlies are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from sharing the court with the 5th-most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 20 games (the Bucks).