Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 12/12/2025

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Ja Morant

NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz · Dec 12, 2025

Updated Dec 13, 2025 12:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+105/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA when playing at home this year.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should boost plays for the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 22.9 rate, Ja Morant's points per game have been reduced this year to 17.9.
In terms of scoring, the Memphis Grizzlies's unimpressive 113.6 points per game settles in as the 8th-weakest in the NBA this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 26.5% on 3-pointers (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Utah Jazz, branding this as a hard matchup.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Utah Jazz, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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