Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 11/9/2025

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 9, 2025

Updated Nov 9, 2025 5:56 PM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, opposing starting PGs have totaled 7.7 three attempts per game (most in the league) against the Thunder, resulting in a positive matchup.
The Grizzlies have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies grade out 6th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 5.2 free throws per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The Thunder have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Grizzlies.
Over the last 6 games when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have grabbed 10.2 offensive rebounds per game (27th-most in the league) vs. the Thunder (lengthening possessions that can produce more chances for offense).