Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 11/7/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 7, 2025

Updated Nov 7, 2025 10:34 PM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-117/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against Dallas is a positive one for threes; when the Dallas Mavericks are away from home, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 9th-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.4).
The most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 9 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from competing against the 4th-quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Dallas Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 4th-best in in the NBA while playing at home with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

When it comes to 3-point shots, the Grizzlies's lackluster 33.0% rate of converted threes ranks 7th-fewest in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 2.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).