Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Houston Rockets · Nov 5, 2025

Updated Nov 5, 2025 8:04 PM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-144/+121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ +121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Houston is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the Houston Rockets are away from home, opposing starting PGs have put up the 9th-highest FG% in the NBA this year (45.5%).
The 6th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.2 free throws per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Rockets, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

The Grizzlies rank as the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The Grizzlies will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Rockets).