Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2025

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Ja Morant

NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 11, 2025

Updated Apr 11, 2025 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has averaged 31.1 points per game over the last 10 games, 7.9 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
Ja Morant has successfully made 3.8 treys per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he's converted from three overall this year.
Ja Morant has tallied 36.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 5.7 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.
The fastest tempo team in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely get a boost in plays today from being pitted against the 5th-fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).

Favors Under

Ja Morant has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 0.8 more than he's accumulated over the course of the year on the road.
This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PGs have shot 20.5% on 3-pointers (2nd-worst in the NBA) against the Nuggets, resulting in a difficult matchup.
Ja Morant will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to decrease stat production in all facets of the game.

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