Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 4/10/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 10, 2025

Updated Apr 10, 2025 11:58 PM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has logged 30.6 points per game over the last 10 games, 7.6 more than he's logged over the course of the season.
Ja Morant has successfully made 2.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's sunk overall this year while playing at home.
Ja Morant has tallied 35.3 minutes per game over the last 9 games, 5.2 more than he's tallied overall this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Ja Morant has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year.
As it relates to treys, the Memphis Grizzlies's poor 35.2% rate of made threes as the home team comes in as the 7th-fewest in the NBA over the last 20 games.
This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 39.8% on shot attempts from the field (lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, resulting in a difficult matchup.
The Grizzlies will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.3 free throws per game over the last 15 games (5th-least in the league).