Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 4/8/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 8, 2025

Updated Apr 8, 2025 10:29 PM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has logged 30.2 points per game over the last 10 games, 7.4 more than he's logged in all games this year.
Ja Morant has attempted 6.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Ja Morant has averaged 36.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 5.6 more than he's averaged overall this year on the road.
The Grizzlies have played at the fastest tempo in the league this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank 2nd-best in the NBA as the away team with 13.9 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Ja Morant has averaged 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.1 more than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.
The matchup vs. the Charlotte Hornets is a challenging one for field goal attempts; the opposition's starting PGs have totaled the least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.3).
The Memphis Grizzlies will likely see a decline in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year (the Charlotte Hornets).
The matchup against the Hornets is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.9 free throws per game this year (3rd-least in the league).
Ja Morant is expected to suffer a drop-off in output in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from home in this contest.