Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 29, 2025

Updated Mar 29, 2025 9:59 PM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has averaged 32.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 10.5 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
Ja Morant has attempted 6.8 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Ja Morant has averaged 35.3 minutes per game over the last 9 games, 5.4 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
The most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 2nd-best in in the league with 13.1 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

In regard to treys, the Memphis Grizzlies's unimpressive 34.4% rate of converted threes comes in as the 5th-weakest in the NBA over the last 15 games.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 5.3 three attempts per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Lakers, labeling this as a hard matchup.
The Lakers have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Memphis Grizzlies.