Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 2/21/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Orlando Magic vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 21, 2025

Updated Feb 21, 2025 9:34 PM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-108/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has attempted 21.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 4.8 more than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.
Ja Morant has attempted 5.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.
Ja Morant has been on the court for 36.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 6.6 higher than he's been on the court for over the course of the year on the road.
The matchup vs. Orlando is a positive one for 3-point shots; when the Magic are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 6th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (42.3%).
The speediest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Memphis Grizzlies.

Favors Under

The Magic have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.
This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Magic, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.
Ja Morant is expected to experience a decrease in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this matchup.