Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2025

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Ja Morant

NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

New York Knicks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 27, 2025

Updated Jan 28, 2025 2:30 AM UTC

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-137/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has attempted 21.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 4.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
Ja Morant has attempted 5.8 threes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road.
Ja Morant has tallied 36.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 6.2 more than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road.
The Grizzlies have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 2nd-best in in the league with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 4.8 three attempts per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Knicks, labeling this as a hard matchup.
The Grizzlies will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the New York Knicks).
Ja Morant will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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