Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2025

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Ja Morant

NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 13, 2025

Updated Jan 14, 2025 2:35 AM UTC

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has attempted 21.8 shots per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 4.4 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road.
Ja Morant has attempted 5.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this year on the road.
Ja Morant has averaged 36.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 6.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.
The Grizzlies have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Memphis Grizzlies rank best in in the league with 14.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have logged 12.8 points per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets, creating a challenging matchup for offensive production.
The Rockets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Grizzlies.
The matchup vs. Houston may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 1.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Rockets are on their home court (least in the NBA).
Ja Morant will likely suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this game.

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