Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2023

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Ja Morant

NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings · Dec 31, 2023

Updated Jan 1, 2024 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Ja Morant measures in the 98th percentile for shots, registering 20.1 per game since the start of last season.
Ja Morant has attempted 5.0 three-pointers per game since the start of last season, putting him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Ja Morant has been on the court for 31.8 minutes per game playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 80th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA on their home court this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
The 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Grizzlies.

Favors Under

This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 15.2 points per game (13th-fewest in the league) against the Kings, making this a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (8th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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