Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 12/28/2023

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Ja Morant

NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 28, 2023

Updated Dec 29, 2023 12:42 AM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

When it comes to 3-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA as the away team over the last 15 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
This year, opposing teams have averaged 31.3 three attempts per game (fewest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, labeling this as a tough matchup.
The 8th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.

Favors Under

The Grizzlies are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Grizzlies rank 4thworst in in the NBA with only 9.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
The Nuggets have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, their opposition has attempted 26.8 foul shots per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Nuggets, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

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