Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 23, 2023

Updated Dec 23, 2023 11:54 PM UTC

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has attempted 19.6 shots from the field per game while on the road since the start of last season, putting him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Ja Morant rates in the 77th percentile for three-point attempts while playing away from home, putting up 4.4 per game since the start of last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Ja Morant rates in the 86th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 32.4 minutes per game since the start of last season.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 7.6 3-point attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Hawks, making this a good matchup.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Memphis Grizzlies grade out 1stworst in in the league on the road with only 8.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
While at home, the Atlanta Hawks have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 3.3 free throws per game (10th-lowest in the league) against the Hawks, making it tough to get to the foul line.
Ja Morant will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.