Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2023

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Ja Morant

NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 19, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 12:12 AM UTC

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Ja Morant comes in at the 98th percentile for field goal attempts, registering 20.0 per game since the start of last season.
Among all players in the league, Ja Morant registers in the 81st percentile for 3-point attempts, tallying 5.0 per game since the start of last season.
Ja Morant has tallied 32.4 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the league: 86th percentile.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when it comes to three-point attempts.
The matchup against New Orleans is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the New Orleans Pelicans are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 29th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.5).

Favors Under

The Grizzlies have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 13 games when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have brought down 11.9 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the New Orleans Pelicans (maintaining possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).
Ja Morant will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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