Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 16, 2023

Updated Apr 16, 2023 3:01 PM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-109/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has scored 26.2 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league in this category: 97th percentile.
Ja Morant has attempted 4.9 three-pointers per game this year, putting him in the 81st percentile among all players in the league.
Ja Morant has been on the court for 31.1 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a positive one; when the Lakers are the visiting team, they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (21.4).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home.

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while on their home court this year.
The Lakers have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).