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Ja Morant

Ja Morant Points
Player Prop - 4/7/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Ja Morant has averaged 26.4 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 97th percentile.

Ja Morant has averaged 31.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 84th percentile.

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage.

The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should boost plays for the Grizzlies.

The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Ja Morant has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled when it comes to getting T'ed up.

The matchup against the Bucks is a challenging one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 14th-lowest three percentage in the league this year (32.3%).

The Bucks have given up the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Bucks may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a mere 1.7 free throws per game over the last 5 games (14th-least in the league).

Ja Morant will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decreases stat production across the board.

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