Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 5, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 3:06 PM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. New Orleans is a favorable one; when the Pelicans are on their home court, they have given up the 27th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (21.6).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Pelicans have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Pelicans may be a strong one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (29th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Pelicans have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Grizzlies.