Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 8:18 PM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has attempted 20.2 shots from the field per game this year, placing him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Ja Morant has averaged 31.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while traveling, which should lead to more plays for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Ja Morant has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled when it comes to getting T'ed up.
The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a tough one for attempts from downtown; the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.9).
The Trail Blazers have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Memphis Grizzlies have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the foul line recently: 4th-worst in the league over the last 20 games, totaling a measly 20.2 foul shot attempts per game.