Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 1, 2023

Updated Mar 1, 2023 11:01 PM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-112/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has posted 32.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 higher than he's posted in all games this year.
Ja Morant has attempted 7.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Ja Morant has played 39.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's played overall this year.
The matchup against the Rockets is a good one; they have given up the 26th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (20.7).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the league over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year when it comes to shots from downtown.
The Rockets have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Rockets is a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.4 free throws per game this year (8th-least in the NBA).
Ja Morant will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers stat production in all facets of the game.