Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Feb 28, 2023 6:56 PM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has scored 32.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 higher than he's scored in all games this season.
Ja Morant has attempted 7.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 more than he's attempted overall this season.
Ja Morant has played 39.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 more than he's played over the course of the year.
The matchup against the Lakers is a favorable one; they have allowed the 26th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PGs this year (18.7).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.
The Lakers have allowed the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).