Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 2/25/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 25, 2023

Updated Feb 25, 2023 7:51 PM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has scored 32.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 higher than he's scored overall this season.
Ja Morant has attempted 7.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Ja Morant has averaged 39.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The matchup against the Nuggets is a good one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the 30th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (36.5%).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 9th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-point attempts.
The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.2 free throws per game this year (10th-least in the league).