Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 23, 2023

Updated Feb 23, 2023 7:22 PM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has posted 32.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 higher than he's posted over the course of the year.
Ja Morant has attempted 7.8 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.2 more than he's attempted overall this year.
Ja Morant has played 39.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 more than he's played in all games this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year when it comes to three-point shots.
The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a hard one for threes; when the 76ers are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied the 15th-least threes per game in the NBA this year (1.4).
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Grizzlies.
The matchup vs. the 76ers may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a mere 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (14th-least in the NBA).
Ja Morant will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player production for all stats.