Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Boston Celtics vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 12, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has attempted 20.8 shots from the field per game this year, putting him in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.
Ja Morant has attempted 4.4 3-point shots per game away from home this year, placing him in the 75th percentile among all players in the league.
Ja Morant has averaged 32.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 86th percentile.
The matchup against Derrick White is a favorable one for field goal attempts; when White is playing at home fellow starting PGs this year, they have attempted a massive 15.1 shots made from the field per game (96th percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 7th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 25 games as it relates to attempts from downtown.
The Celtics have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Grizzlies.
The matchup vs. Derrick White is a hard one for getting to the foul line; when guarding fellow starting PGs this year, they have attempted a mere 3.3 foul shots per game (7th percentile).
Ja Morant will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally decreases stat production for all stats.