Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2023

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Ja Morant

NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 10, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has successfully made 2.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year with the home court advantage.
Ja Morant has averaged 32.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Ja Morant has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated overall this season.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.

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