Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Chicago Bulls · Feb 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has attempted 21.1 shots per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Ja Morant has tallied 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's tallied overall this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Bulls have played at the 7th-quickest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Ja Morant has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (96th percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games as it relates to three-point attempts.
The matchup vs. Chicago is a difficult one for shots from the field; when the Bulls are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the least shots made from the field per game in the league this year (5.7).
The matchup against the Bulls may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing teams have attempted a mere 25.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Bulls are on the road (5th-least in the league).