Ja Morant Points - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Ja Morant

G · Memphis Grizzlies

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers · Feb 1, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Ja Morant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ja Morant has scored 27.7 points per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category.
Ja Morant has attempted 20.9 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Ja Morant has attempted 8.3 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Ja Morant has tallied 36.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's tallied overall this year.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a difficult one for threes; opposing squads have compiled the 5th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league over the last 5 games (41.4%).
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 7th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home when it comes to attempts from downtown.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Grizzlies.
The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a challenging one for attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting PGs have averaged the 3rd-least three attempts per game in the league this year (5.0).